Turn off MathJax
Article Contents
WANG Yun,CHEN Feifei,SHEN Yanshen,et al. Experimental study on deformation and failure process of No. 1 landslide in Machi Village under rainfall conditions in mountainous area of western Hubei[J]. Bulletin of Geological Science and Technology,2026,45(5):1-20 doi: 10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.tb20250271
Citation: WANG Yun,CHEN Feifei,SHEN Yanshen,et al. Experimental study on deformation and failure process of No. 1 landslide in Machi Village under rainfall conditions in mountainous area of western Hubei[J]. Bulletin of Geological Science and Technology,2026,45(5):1-20 doi: 10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.tb20250271

Experimental study on deformation and failure process of No. 1 landslide in Machi Village under rainfall conditions in mountainous area of western Hubei

doi: 10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.tb20250271
More Information
  • Author Bio:

    E-mail:wangyun1@cug.edu.cn

  • Corresponding author: E-mail:zhangguangc@cug.edu.cn
  • Received Date: 14 Jun 2025
  • Accepted Date: 14 Oct 2025
  • Rev Recd Date: 24 Sep 2025
  • Available Online: 16 Oct 2025
  • Objective 

    Large-scale colluvial landslides are widely distributed in mountainous areas of western Hubei, and slope deformation evolution is closely coupled with the spatiotemporal distribution of rainfall. Existing related studies mostly focus on single rainfall intensity or short-term monitoring data, lacking systematic comparative research on different rainfall peak patterns and quantitative sensitivity differentiation of multi-geomechanical parameters. This study aims to reveal the response patterns of colluvial slope deformation and evolutionary process under four typical rainfall patterns, and quantitatively identify the sensitivity ranking of various influencing factors to landslide stability.

    Methods 

    Taking No. 1 colluvial landslide in Machi Village of Shiyan City as the research prototype, a geometrically scaled indoor physical model was established based on similarity theory. Four rainfall scenarios (early-peak, mid-peak, flat-peak, and late-peak rainfall) were set up to reproduce the full deformation and failure process of the landslide. On the basis of model test data, orthogonal design combined with analysis of variance (ANOVA) was adopted to distinguish the dominant controlling factors of slope stability.

    Results 

    The results showed that: ① The influence of the four rainfall patterns on pore water pressure in the landslide soil was mainly reflected in the timing of the peak pore water pressure, which varied with the position of the rainfall peak. The earlier the rainfall peak occurred, the earlier the peak pore water pressure appeared. Moreover, the late-peak rainfall pattern induced a relatively larger failure zone and exhibited a stronger disaster-causing effect. ② Under different rainfall patterns, the slope model began to deform primarily from the middle section, first undergoing creep deformation, followed by step-like deformation, and eventually complete failure. ③ ANOVA based on orthogonal tests indicated that the sensitivity of factors affecting the overall stability of the No. 1 landslide in Machi Village decreased in the following order: internal friction angle (φ) > cohesion (c) > cumulative rainfall (T) > permeability coefficient (Ks) > unit weight of slip zone soil (γ) > rainfall pattern (Q). The cohesion (c) and internal friction angle (φ) of the slip zone soil are the key shear strength parameters for evaluating landslide stability. ④ For the local front edge of the landslide, the permeability coefficient (Ks) was an important factor affecting stability, whereas for the overall landslide, cumulative rainfall (T) played a more critical role.

    Conclusion 

    The No. 1 landslide in Machi Village is a typical rainfall-induced retrogressive landslide, and late-peak rainfall has the strongest disaster-causing effect. The integrated research framework combining physical model observation, deformation evolution analysis, and multi-factor ANOVA sensitivity quantification proposed in this study has high accuracy and practicability. The research findings can provide theoretical support for deformation monitoring and emergency response of similar colluvial landslides in the mountainous areas of western Hubei.

     

  • loading
  • [1]
    曾洋, 华骐, 杨涛, 等. 湖北省地质灾害特征及形成条件研究[J]. 资源环境与工程, 2022, 36(4): 472-478. doi: 10.16536/j.cnki.issn.1671-1211.2022.04.011

    ZENG Y, HUA Q, YANG T, et al. Study on the characteristics and formation conditions of geological disasters in Hubei Province[J]. Resources Environment & Engineering, 2022, 36(4): 472-478. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.16536/j.cnki.issn.1671-1211.2022.04.011
    [2]
    张玉, 陈铁林, 任伟中, 等. 湖北省地质灾害发育环境和防治区划现状研究[J]. 灾害学, 2018, 33(3): 37-42. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2018.03.007

    ZHANG Y, CHEN T L, REN W Z, et al. Developing environment of geo-disaster in Hubei Province and its control division[J]. Journal of Catastrophology, 2018, 33(3): 37-42. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2018.03.007
    [3]
    李远耀, 汪哲涵, 居乐, 等. 湖北省秭归县降雨型滑坡连续概率阈值研究[J]. 地质科技通报, 2025, 44(6): 134-146. doi: 10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.tb20250352

    LI Y Y, WANG Z H, JU L, et al. Continuous probability threshold for rainfall-type landslides in Zigui County, Hubei Province[J]. Bulletin of Geological Science and Technology, 2025, 44(6): 134-146. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.tb20250352
    [4]
    刘帅, 朱杰勇, 杨得虎, 等. 不同降雨工况条件下的崩滑地质灾害危险性评价[J]. 地质科技通报, 2024, 43(2): 253-267. doi: 10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.tb20220448

    LIU S, ZHU J Y, YANG D H, et al. Geological hazard risk assessment of collapse and landslide under different rainfall conditions[J]. Bulletin of Geological Science and Technology, 2024, 43(2): 253-267. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.tb20220448
    [5]
    吴益平, 张秋霞, 唐辉明, 等. 基于有效降雨强度的滑坡灾害危险性预警[J]. 地球科学, 2014, 39(7): 889-895.

    WU Y P, ZHANG Q X, TANG H M, et al. Landslide hazard warning based on effective rainfall intensity[J]. Earth Science, 2014, 39(7): 889-895. (in Chinese with English abstract)
    [6]
    WANG Q K, LI B, XING A G, et al. Failure process analysis of a catastrophic landslide in Zhenxiong triggered by prolonged low-intensity rainfall using centrifuge tests[J]. Engineering Geology, 2025, 351: 108044. doi: 10.1016/j.enggeo.2025.108044
    [7]
    李卓, 何勇军, 盛金保, 等. 降雨与库水位共同作用下近坝库岸边坡滑坡模型试验研究[J]. 岩土工程学报, 2017, 39(3): 452-459. doi: 10.11779/CJGE201703008

    LI Z, HE Y J, SHENG J B, et al. Landslide model for slope of reservoir bank under combined effects of rainfall and reservoir water level[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2017, 39(3): 452-459. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.11779/CJGE201703008
    [8]
    LIAO K, MIAO F S, WU Y P, et al. Physical model test on a reservoir landslide with double sliding zones subjected to water level fluctuation and rainfall[J]. Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment, 2025, 84(6): 259. doi: 10.1007/s10064-025-04320-0
    [9]
    卢操, 晏鄂川, 陈侠廷, 等. 区域滑坡灾害降雨预警的I-D-M阈值模型研究[J]. 地质科技通报, 2025, 44(6): 157-165. doi: 10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.tb20250216

    LU C, YAN E C, CHEN X T, et al. Research on the I-D-M threshold model for regional rainfall-induced landslide hazard early warning at a regional scale[J]. Bulletin of Geological Science and Technology, 2025, 44(6): 157-165. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.tb20250216
    [10]
    CHANG W J, CHOU S H, HUANG H P, et al. Development and verification of coupled hydro-mechanical analysis for rainfall-induced shallow landslides[J]. Engineering Geology, 2021, 293: 106337. doi: 10.1016/j.enggeo.2021.106337
    [11]
    CHEN S Z, XU W Y, XU X Y, et al. Deformation response and mechanism induced by rainfall of the Zhoujia landslide in Southwestern China[J]. Natural Hazards, 2025, 121(7): 8039-8059. doi: 10.1007/s11069-025-07110-9
    [12]
    张明, 胡瑞林, 殷跃平, 等. 川东缓倾红层中降雨诱发型滑坡机制研究[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报, 2014, 33(增刊2): 3783-3790. doi: 10.13722/j.cnki.jrme.2014.s2.048

    ZHANG M, HU R L, YIN Y P, et al. Mechanism of rainfall-induced landslides in gently inclined red beds in eastern Sichuan Chinese[J]. Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering, 2014, 33(S2): 3783-3790. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.13722/j.cnki.jrme.2014.s2.048
    [13]
    GUI J J, SHI W B, ZHOU L, et al. Formation mechanism of the Guanling landslide under the action of heavy rain in Guizhou, China[J]. Environmental Earth Sciences, 2024, 83(24): 684. doi: 10.1007/s12665-024-11993-5
    [14]
    CHEN H Y, ZOU J H, WANG X H, et al. Inducing factors and deformation mechanism of the Zhangjiacitang landslide in the Three Gorges Reservoir area[J]. Scientific Reports, 2023, 13: 12926. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-40186-6
    [15]
    黄润秋, 赵松江, 宋肖冰, 等. 四川省宣汉县天台乡滑坡形成过程和机理分析[J]. 水文地质工程地质, 2005, 32(1): 13-15. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-3665.2005.01.003

    HUANG R Q, ZHAO S J, SONG X B, et al. The formation and mechanism analysis of Tiantai landslide, Xuanhan County, Sichuan Province[J]. Hydrogeology & Engineering Geology, 2005, 32(1): 13-15. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-3665.2005.01.003
    [16]
    ZHOU K, WANG H, LIAO J X, et al. Deformation and failure mechanism of colluvial landslide under sustained rainfall: A case study of Xinzhan landslide in Tongzi County, China[J]. Alexandria Engineering Journal, 2023, 71: 89-103. doi: 10.1016/j.aej.2023.03.044
    [17]
    CHEN X Y, ZHANG L L, ZHANG L M, et al. Modelling rainfall-induced landslides from initiation of instability to post-failure[J]. Computers and Geotechnics, 2021, 129: 103877. doi: 10.1016/j.compgeo.2020.103877
    [18]
    JAYAKODY S H S, UZUOKA R, UEDA K. Effect of groundwater dynamics in rain-induced landslides: Centrifuge and numerical study[J]. Soils and Foundations, 2024, 64(4): 101482. doi: 10.1016/j.sandf.2024.101482
    [19]
    MONTGOMERY D R, DIETRICH W E. A physically based model for the topographic control on shallow landsliding[J]. Water Resources Research, 1994, 30(4): 1153-1171. doi: 10.1029/93WR02979
    [20]
    罗渝, 何思明, 何尽川. 降雨类型对浅层滑坡稳定性的影响[J]. 地球科学, 2014, 39(9): 1357-1363.

    LUO Y, HE S M, HE J C. Effect of rainfall patterns on stability of shallow landslide[J]. Earth Science, 2014, 39(9): 1357-1363. (in Chinese with English abstract)
    [21]
    TSAPARAS I, RAHARDJO H, TOLL D G, et al. Controlling parameters for rainfall-induced landslides[J]. Computers and Geotechnics, 2002, 29(1): 1-27. doi: 10.1016/S0266-352X(01)00019-2
    [22]
    谭文辉, 璩世杰, 高丹青, 等. 降雨入渗对边坡稳定性的影响分析[J]. 武汉理工大学学报, 2010, 32(15): 39-43.

    TAN W H, QU S J, GAO D Q, et al. Effects of rain infiltration on slope stability[J]. Journal of Wuhan University of Technology, 2010, 32(15): 39-43. (in Chinese with English abstract)
    [23]
    RAHIMI A, RAHARDJO H, LEONG E C. Effect of antecedent rainfall patterns on rainfall-induced slope failure[J]. Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering, 2011, 137(5): 483-491. doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)GT.1943-5606.0000451
    [24]
    付宏渊, 曾铃, 蒋中明, 等. 降雨条件下公路边坡暂态饱和区发展规律[J]. 中国公路学报, 2012, 25(3): 59-64. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-7372.2012.03.004

    FU H Y, ZENG L, JIANG Z M, et al. Developing law of transient saturated areas of highway slope under rainfall conditions[J]. China Journal of Highway and Transport, 2012, 25(3): 59-64. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-7372.2012.03.004
    [25]
    WANG H L, JIANG Z H, XU W Y, et al. Physical model test on deformation and failure mechanism of deposit landslide under gradient rainfall[J]. Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment, 2022, 81(1): 66. doi: 10.1007/s10064-021-02566-y
    [26]
    杨登芳, 胡新丽, 徐楚, 等. 基于物理模型试验的多层滑带滑坡变形演化特征[J]. 地质科技通报, 2022, 41(2): 300-308. doi: 10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.2021.0069

    YANG D F, HU X L, XU C, et al. Deformation and evolution characteristics of landslides with multiple sliding zones based on physical model test[J]. Bulletin of Geological Science and Technology, 2022, 41(2): 300-308. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.2021.0069
    [27]
    范秋雁, 刘金泉, 杨典森, 等. 不同降雨模式下膨胀岩边坡模型试验研究[J]. 岩土力学, 2016, 37(12): 3401-3409. doi: 10.16285/j.rsm.2016.12.008

    FAN Q Y, LIU J Q, YANG D S, et al. Model test study of expansive rock slope under different types of precipitation[J]. Rock and Soil Mechanics, 2016, 37(12): 3401-3409. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.16285/j.rsm.2016.12.008
    [28]
    SUN P, WANG H J, WANG G, et al. Field model experiments and numerical analysis of rainfall-induced shallow loess landslides[J]. Engineering Geology, 2021, 295: 106411.
    [29]
    LI Y B, HU X L, ZHANG H Y, et al. Displacement prediction and failure mechanism analysis of rainfall-induced colluvial landslides[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2025, 660: 133361. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133361
    [30]
    RIHAN M, TALUKDAR S, NAIKOO M W, et al. Improving landslide susceptibility prediction in uttarakhand through hyper-tuned artificial intelligence and global sensitivity analysis[J]. Earth Systems and Environment, 2025, 9(4): 3405-3424. doi: 10.1007/s41748-024-00457-2
    [31]
    BARBARA S, XIAORU D, WOLFGANG F. Sensitivity analyses of the different influencing factors on numerical investigations of landslides[J]. Geomechanics and Tunnelling, 2022, 15(5): 582-595. doi: 10.1002/geot.202200014
    [32]
    LIU Q, TANG A P, HUANG D L, et al. Impact of orthogonal transformation for factors on model performance in landslide susceptibility[J]. Environmental Earth Sciences, 2023, 82(5): 119. doi: 10.1007/s12665-023-10803-8
    [33]
    刘毅, 赵斌滨, 殷坤龙, 等. 基于正交设计的麻柳林滑坡稳定性敏感分析[J]. 地球科学, 2019, 44(2): 677-684.

    LIU Y, ZHAO B B, YIN K L, et al. Sensitivity analysis of Maliulin landslide stability based on orthogonal design[J]. Earth Science, 2019, 44(2): 677-684. (in Chinese with English abstract)
    [34]
    冯杭建, 周爱国, 唐小明, 等. 基于确定性系数的降雨型滑坡影响因子敏感性分析[J]. 工程地质学报, 2017, 25(2): 436-446.

    FENG H J, ZHOU A G, TANG X M, et al. Susceptibility analysis of factors controlling rainfall-triggered landslides using certainty factor method[J]. Journal of Engineering Geology, 2017, 25(2): 436-446. (in Chinese with English abstract)
    [35]
    李巍岳, 刘春, MARCO, 等. 基于滑坡敏感性与降雨强度-历时的中国浅层降雨滑坡时空分析与模拟[J]. 中国科学(地球科学), 2017, 47(4): 473-484. doi: 10.1360/N072016-0129

    LI W Y, LIU C, SCAIONI M, et al. Spatiotemporal analysis and simulation of shallow rainfall-induced landslides in China based on landslide sensitivity and rainfall intensity duration[J]. SCIENCE CHINA (Earth Sciences), 2017, 47(4): 473-484. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.1360/N072016-0129
    [36]
    贲琰棋, 易武, 黄晓虎, 等. 基于前期雨型影响的汉江支流堵河左岸麻池村1号滑坡监测预警降雨阈值研究[J]. 水利水电技术(中英文), 2023, 54(5): 38-50. doi: 10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2023.05.004

    BEN Y Q, YI W, HUANG X H, et al. Influence of prophase rainfall pattern-based study on rainfall threshold for monitoring and early-warning of No. 1 landslide at Machi Village on left bank of Duhe River: A Hanjiang River tributary[J]. Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering, 2023, 54(5): 38-50. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2023.05.004
    [37]
    贲琰棋, 易武, 黄晓虎, 等. 基于有效降雨量的“阶跃型”滑坡递进式预警模型研究[J]. 华南地质, 2023, 39(3): 492-501. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.2097-0013.2023.03.008

    BEN Y Q, YI W, HUANG X H, et al. Progressive warning model for "step-like" landslides based on effective rainfall[J]. South China Geology, 2023, 39(3): 492-501. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.3969/j.issn.2097-0013.2023.03.008
    [38]
    黄晓虎, 雷德鑫, 夏俊宝, 等. 降雨诱发滑坡阶跃型变形的预测分析及应用[J]. 岩土力学, 2019, 40(9): 3585-3592. doi: 10.16285/j.rsm.2018.1197

    HUANG X H, LEI D X, XIA J B, et al. Prediction analysis and application of steplike deformation of rainfall-induced landslides[J]. Rock and Soil Mechanics, 2019, 40(9): 3585-3592. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.16285/j.rsm.2018.1197
    [39]
    徐楚, 胡新丽, 何春灿, 等. 水库型滑坡模型试验相似材料的研制及应用[J]. 岩土力学, 2018, 39(11): 4287-4293. doi: 10.16285/j.rsm.2017.0399

    XU C, HU X L, HE C C, et al. Development and application of similar material for reservoir landslide model test[J]. Rock and Soil Mechanics, 2018, 39(11): 4287-4293. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.16285/j.rsm.2017.0399
    [40]
    胡修文, 唐辉明, 刘佑荣. 三峡库区赵树岭滑坡稳定性物理模拟试验研究[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报, 2005, 24(12): 2089-2095. doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1000-6915.2005.12.014

    HU X W, TANG H M, LIU Y R. Physical simulation test study on stability of Zhaoshuling landslide in Three Gorges Reservoir area[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering, 2005, 24(12): 2089-2095. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1000-6915.2005.12.014
    [41]
    MEBRAHTU T K, HEINZE T, WOHNLICH S, et al. Slope stability analysis of deep-seated landslides using limit equilibrium and finite element methods in Debre Sina area, Ethiopia[J]. Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment, 2022, 81(10): 403. doi: 10.1007/s10064-022-02906-6
    [42]
    SARKAR S, PANDIT K, DAHIYA N, et al. Quantified landslide hazard assessment based on finite element slope stability analysis for Uttarkashi–Gangnani Highway in Indian Himalayas[J]. Natural Hazards, 2021, 106(3): 1895-1914. doi: 10.1007/s11069-021-04518-x
    [43]
    廖捷. 基于Geo-Studio的三峡库区桑树坪滑坡稳定性分析评价[J]. 甘肃水利水电技术, 2024, 60(2): 47-51. doi: 10.19645/j.issn2095-0144.2024.02.010

    LIAO J. Stability analysis and evaluation of sangshuping landslide in Three Gorges Reservoir area based on geo-studio[J]. Gansu Water Resources and Hydropower Technology, 2024, 60(2): 47-51. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.19645/j.issn2095-0144.2024.02.010
    [44]
    FAN L F, LEHMANN P, ZHENG C M, et al. Rainfall intensity temporal patterns affect shallow landslide triggering and hazard evolution[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, 47(1): e2019GL085994. doi: 10.1029/2019GL085994
    [45]
    李喜. 三峡库区水位涨落变化对万州区库岸堆积层滑坡稳定性影响研究[D]. 武汉: 中国地质大学(武汉), 2021.

    LI X. Study on the influence of water level fluctuations in the Three Gorges Reservoir area on the stability of accumulation landslides in Wanzhou District[D]. Wuhan: China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), 2021. (in Chinese with English abstract)
    [46]
    ZHANG C Y, YANG M L, ZHANG C H, et al. Study on the enzymatic pretreatment process of alkaline pulping of Wikstroemia monnula: Optimization by orthogonal design[J]. Biomass Conversion and Biorefinery, 2025, 15(23): 30219-30237. doi: 10.1007/s13399-025-06605-6
    [47]
    张万涛, 余宏明. 正交试验设计方法在库岸滑坡敏感性分析中的应用[J]. 安全与环境工程, 2009, 16(5): 13-16. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-1556.2009.05.004

    ZHANG W T, YU H M. Applications of orthogonal experiment design to sensitivity analysis of bank landslide[J]. Safety and Environmental Engineering, 2009, 16(5): 13-16. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-1556.2009.05.004
    [48]
    陈鹏, 徐博侯. 基于因素敏感性的边坡稳定可靠度分析[J]. 中国公路学报, 2012, 25(4): 42-48. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-7372.2012.04.008

    CHEN P, XU B H. Reliability analysis of slope stability based on factors sensitivity[J]. China Journal of Highway and Transport, 2012, 25(4): 42-48. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-7372.2012.04.008
  • 加载中

Catalog

    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

    1. 本站搜索
    2. 百度学术搜索
    3. 万方数据库搜索
    4. CNKI搜索

    Article Metrics

    Article Views(171) PDF Downloads(21) Cited by()
    Proportional views
    Related

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return