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摘要:
压缩空气储能技术一种利用压缩空气在地下储存能量并在需要时释放的储能方式,近年来,随着对可再生能源波动性需求的增加,CAES技术的研究和应用逐渐成为能源领域的关注重点。压缩空气储能地下人工洞室稳定性是一直以来研究的重点,它的影响因素较为复杂,亟需一套合理的风险评价体系。为探究压气储能地下人工洞室的稳定性,建立合理的风险综合评价体系,引入了层次分析法(AHP)与熵值法确定综合权重,并结合模糊数学综合评级法的数学模型。首先确定地下人工洞室的稳定性指标体系,基于层次分析法和熵值法,对各项评价指标权重进行赋值,得到综合权重;在大量文献调研和数值模拟的基础上,对各个评价指标的风险等级进行划分,然后结合模糊数学评价法,确定各评价指标的模糊矩阵,将各评价指标的模糊矩阵和综合权重相结合,从而得到地下人工洞室储气库的综合评价结果。运用该模型针对代表性试验库进行验证,评价结果符合实际情况,表明该方法具有一定的准确性,可以为工程实践提供有益借鉴。
Abstract:Compressed Air Energy Storage (CAES) is an energy storage method that utilizes compressed air to store energy underground and releases it when needed. In recent years, with the increasing demand to address the variability of renewable energy, research and application of CAES technology have gradually become a focus in the energy field. The stability of underground artificial caverns for compressed air energy storage has always been a key research priority, and its influencing factors are relatively complex, making the establishment of a reasonable risk evaluation system urgently needed. To investigate the stability of underground artificial caverns for CAES and establish a reasonable comprehensive risk evaluation system, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and entropy method were introduced to determine comprehensive weights, combined with a mathematical model of the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. First, the stability indicator system for underground artificial caverns was established. Based on the AHP and entropy method, weights were assigned to each evaluation indicator to obtain comprehensive weights. On the basis of extensive literature research and numerical simulations, risk levels for each evaluation indicator were classified. Then, combined with the fuzzy mathematics evaluation method, the fuzzy matrix for each evaluation indicator was determined. By integrating the fuzzy matrix of each evaluation indicator with the comprehensive weights, the comprehensive evaluation results for the underground artificial cavern gas storage were obtained. This model was applied to validate a representative test cavern, and the evaluation results were consistent with actual conditions, demonstrating the method's accuracy and its potential to provide valuable insights for engineering practices.
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